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Was Atlas Intel the best pollster for two elections in a row?

Well let's take a look see

Here is how they did:


  • National +1 (+3.5 current)

  • Georgia +2 (+2.2 actual)

  • North Carolina +2 (+3.1 actual)

  • Arizona +5 (+4.7 actual)

  • Nevada +3 (+4.7 actual)

  • Pennsylvania +1 (+2.3 actual)

  • Michigan +2 (+1.6 actual)

  • Wisconsin +1 (+0.8 actual)


So some of these will likely move just a bit, especially the national number as California and the other slow counting west coast states start to wade in. But they were not off by much really anywhere. I suspect Nevada will close and +3 will be pretty close. Arizona might end up being the only place where Atlas overstated Trump support, but their result will still likely be the closest of the bunch.

Perhaps later I will compare this to how the NYT/Siena polling did.

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Unknown member
Nov 07, 2024

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Unknown member
Nov 07, 2024

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Unknown member
Nov 07, 2024

Amazing Arizona could be called in like 5 minutes last cycle and now about 30% of votes remain uncounted days later. They are trying to steal the election away from Lake again. Trump is a lock. Not sure what is going on in Nevada. Both state's election handling is unacceptable.

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