Trump takes Michigan lead in RCP and Hill polling

For the longest time I felt Michigan was going to be the hardest for Trump to win

Of course, part of the Harris strategy for choosing Walz over Shapiro was to mitigate the problems with the large bloc of antisemitic voters in Michigan. If she were to lose Michigan in spite of that move, people would see picking Walz as a big mistake. While the media has done its part to prop Walz up and try to make it seem like Vance is the VP candidate problem, anyone with eyes and common sense can see that this is not the case. Walz has made blunder after blunder including imploding in the debate and the "darn gosh, I am just a knucklehead" routine is not wearing well.

Meanwhile, Harris is finally out there proving why her handlers did not want her giving interviews. The 60 minutes interview was miserable and apparently they even cut out some of the worse parts. Imagine how bad it would have been live. Her soundbite from her meeting with the "view" where she suggests she would have not done a thing differently from Joe Biden has instantly become a television ad undermining her main campaign message of being a fresh face with fresh ideas and representing change.

The betting lines have flipped and are slowly but surely moving in Trump's direction. He is currently sitting at or above 50% in every betting line. This is a big flip from where it was a couple of weeks ago.

Nate Silver and 538 are showing the Presidential race almost dead even, and that is with ignoring some of those RCP and the Hill is putting in their average. This has become a thing. I always thought it was only RCP that ignored certain lesser known and less accurate pollsters, but now I see it goes both ways, with both 538 and Silver completely ignoring some of the polls above showing Trump ahead. Yet they seem to include even lesser-known polls that show Harris ahead. Only the Hill seems to be adding both to their averages and they are closer now to RCP than they are to 538 and Silver.