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State of the post-debate polling

I am sure more polling will be coming out, but this is what we are looking at so far


The one thing to consider here is that outside of Rasmussen, these pollsters have been mostly good for Harris during the entire cycle. Nate Silver suggested that the raw average of post-debate polls was 3.1 for Harris which is in line with these numbers. Not sure he has anything more than what I have seen. At issue is the fact that these same pollsters may show a larger lead for Harris, but that is largely due to bend of these pollsters.


That being said, waiting for the more traditional pollsters may not actually tells us as much as those pollsters have much longer time frames between polls. Their changes would reflect more than just the debate, and the longer they wait to poll people the less the debate actually matters.

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