So how did the guilty verdict effect those willing to put their $$ where their mouth is?

Trump dropped from a 15 point betting favorite to about an 8.5 betting favorite.

If you look at this chart, you can tell that Biden had been climbing prior to the trial. In fact, he was all but even and actually took a small lead at one point.

Then once the trial started that momentum was gone and Trump built a fairly significant 15 point betting favorite lead. That 15 point lead was cut almost in half after the guilty verdict. But ultimately his current betting odds of 47.7 is better than any time before the trial started.

Again, these are snapshots in a fairly small period of time. How this shakes out a week from now or a month from now is anyone's guess. But if Trump is not sentenced to jail (the prevailing wisdom) then the optics of that the bookkeeping "felony" from 2017 becomes less of a factor. After all, isn't a felon supposed to be in jail rather than touring the country and campaigning for President.

Reality is that nothing was presented at the trial that the public didn't already know. It was simply a chance for a liberal Democrat prosecutor, a liberal Democratic Biden donating Judge, and twelve liberal Manhattan jurists to all conspire to demand he was guilty of a crime because (in essence) he won an election that these people feel he should not have won. This was little more than a naked partisan power play.

Moving forward I find it hard to believe that Biden and the rest of the Democrats will not gloat over this and take every chance they can to call Trump a "felon". But at some point that will get old even to those who might find it a bit clever today. For anyone who sees this for what it was, it will simply make you lose more respect for these Democrats.