Should Trump worry about the midterms or just stick to his guns in Iran?

When everything America does is tied to the latest CNN poll, we are not effectively much of a superpower.

People keep referring to "political pressure" as if that must be the overriding factor of how Trump and gang handle the Iranian war. Some insist that the war must end soon or the GOP will be hurting come the midterms. Now I don't mean to be skeptical, but I feel like the midterms are not likely to go well regardless, probably goes worse if Trump backs down in Iran, and the only real chance of a better mid-term outcome is a good result in Iran.

In other words, I believe that conventional wisdom is once again wrong. I believe that the best political move for Trump and the GOP right now is to take this war to the next level and make sure their objectives are made. The idea that Iran can somehow win this by waiting it out is only valid if the United States and Israel allow it. Right now, the Iranians have done a 180 on the strait largely because it is the only weapon they have. They are willing to break the agreement, knowing that it likely means they will start being bombed again possibly before the ceasefire ends. but more likely the same day it does end (that way Trump can claim we kept our side of the agreement). It's become obvious that the people we are negotiating with have no control over the Islamic Republican Guard and it is obvious that the Guard does not want to give in and definitely does not want to give up control. They have existed as bullies of the region for decades and it is all they know. So within 24 hours of the civilian portion of the Iranian government opening the strait and telling ships they can pass. the Iranians with guns decided to "reclose it". This is not so much the Iranians negotiating in bad faith as much as it is that the Iranians negotiating do not speak for everyone in Iran and they certainly do not control the guard.

It remains more than plausible and quite likely that most of the Iranians with guns have no real understanding of how the blockade actually effects the Iranian economy. Those who do understand are apparently powerless to explain this to those with the guns. Or maybe they do and just have a different idea of how to break the blockade. Obviously, whoever is negotiating for Iran believes that they must play nice to get Trump to loosen the grip. More obvious is the fact that the republican guard and those representing the "supreme leadership" believe that they can still bully their way to a better outcome.

It would seem that the Iranians have now pushed the ire of India, by shooting at a tanker that was given permission to pass the strait. The Iranians keep pushing people, acting like thugs, and creating more enemies. I doubt very seriously that the country of India is really afraid of Iran at this point. What would happen if a country like that decided to push the issue by bring their own military and possible war ships into the region to assist their own tankers in getting through.

Moreover, this recent situation has likely taken all the wind out of the sails of the European plans to patrol the strait. They have no stomach for actual military combat, and I see that entire concept falling apart at the seams.

The only thing left for Trump is to decide if he wants a positive ending for this war, or if he decides to "cave to pressure" from the conventional wisdom of the so-called experts who will tell him that this war needs to end one way or the other (regardless of objectives) to save the midterms. I hope Trump sticks to his guns here.