Riddle me this?

Six new polls released today (none very good for Harris) and the Hill comes up with some strange mathematics to show Harris's already inflated polling leads inexplicitly jumping even higher.

So the Hill bumped her up from 4.0 in the two way race to 4.1 and from 5.6 to 6.3 in the multi-candidate races.

Here were the polls what were released:

Rasmussen - Trump +1 (two way)

Emerson - Harris +2 (two way)

McLaughlin - Trump +2 (two way)

McLaughlin - Even (multi-candidate)

Big Data - Even (two way)

Outward Intelligence - Harris +4 (two way)

Outward Intelligence - Harris +6 (multi-candidate)

YouGov - Harris +2 (multi-candidate).

If you do the quick math, the two way average for these new polls by themselves is 1.4% for Harris, while the multi-candidate polling was 2.7% for Harris. Given the Hill had Harris up by 4.0 and are adding polling where four of the five new polls are less than 4% and two of them show Trump leading.. please explain how an average can go from 4.0 to 4.1? There is no mathematical formula in the world that can achieve such a feat.

Meanwhile, their multi-candidate polling already defies any logical mathematical formulas by suggesting she has been ahead by 5.6% - but add three new polls, only one of which is higher than 5.6% - and her average jumps 0.7%. This is not just inexplicable, but downright laughable.

I am not sure exactly what is going on over at the Hill, but I also noticed that both 538 and the Hill are searching within the polling metrics to change the top-line results to something more favorable to Harris. With the Emerson poll, both of them went in and added "leaners" into the topline rather than simply accept the poll as it was. There is a reason why leaners are not generally added to polling results, because they tend to be the least likely to vote and are subject to changing their minds. I sometimes add them to my spreadsheet numbers if they show a ton of them, but those are just for averages and to keep the overall numbers closer to reflecting 100% of the vote. I never add them to the polling average, since most pollsters do not provide it.

The problem here for these three polling aggregates (538, Silver, Hill) is that they are rooting for Harris and most of these polls are moving in Trump's direction or at least no longer showing any Harris momentum. Both 538 and Silver Bulletin show her lead down to 3.2 and that is them still ignoring polls like Rasmussen and others that are more favorable to Trump. They will list something like the outward intelligence poll which seem to be on an island, while ignoring polls in line with other pollsters, seemingly out of spite or an old grudge. Meanwhile, RCP has moved their 5 way race off the front page and currently show Harris up by 1.8 as their only polling average - which is in line with the 1.9% that both my polling average and spreadsheet are showing.

Put a gun to my head and I will say this is a two point race.