New polls show Trump leading in enough states to win handily.

Trump leads in every state but Minnesota (down 3) and Wisconsin (tied). Harris has a lot of work to do.

Most of these states are rather tight but given where the polling was four years ago and how close he came to winning, we would be hard-pressed to not believe Trump has a significant advantage. Most sites don't see Florida as a battleground, and Georgia has been pretty solid for Trump in most all polling. If he wins those as expected, all it takes is Pennsylvania (plus four in this poll) to give him the 270 he needs to win.