54% of Democratic voters want Biden to stay in race. Harris does no better than Biden.
Trump has regained the lead against Joe Biden in the latest FOX Poll (a poll that unintuitively tends to be less favorable to Trump). He leads by three points in the full five-way race. Both Biden and Harris are behind by the same amount in the two-way race (they do not poll Harris or anyone else in a five-way race). No Democrat beats Trump in the poll, meaning anyone starting fresh is going to start behind. Some of those not named Biden have seen a small bump, but I suspect that is the grass is greener type of dynamic.
I don't expect Democrats to talk about anything other than the assassination attempt for at least a few days, and then we get into the Republican National Convention. For those trying to push Biden out, this attempt on Trump's life could not have come at a more inopportune time. If they are smart, they will wait to see how this event changes the dynamics of the race. If Trump gets even a smallish bump from this and then anything at all from the convention, it might be time for Democrats to accept their fate and start thinking about 2028. They might think they can make up a three- or four-point deficit between now and then, but something more in the range of five or six might be insurmountable.
If that becomes the case, do they want to put up a sacrificial lamb that might want to run for President in 2028? Losing a Presidential race is not exactly good "experience" or something people will see as a plus moving into 2028. Very few losing candidate went on to become successful Presidents. I mean, Nixon did it, but that is the exception to the rule. How did that turn out? Allowing Biden to lose on his terms without being pushed out the door might end up being the prudent option for everyone involved. They might decide that there is enough chaos as it is.
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