New Atlas battleground state polls come out and they are good for Trump

Most accurate pollster in 2020 according to several sources

Never look at a poll just in and of itself, rather look at how a poll is moving:

• North Carolina - Trump gains 1.5%

• Georgia - Trump gains 1.7%

• Arizona - Trump gains 3.6%

• Nevada - Trump gains 1.0%

• Wisconsin - Trump gains 1.1%

• Michigan - Harris gains 1.7%

• Pennsylvania - Trump gains 2.7%

• Seven state average - Trump gains 1.4%

The only state that shows Harris gaining was Michigan and Trump still leads by over a point. In fact, I have to say that I had previously been a bit suspicious about Trump leading in Michigan by three points. On paper according to Demographics, Michigan and Nevada are the least favorable to Trump.

The North Carolina number is a bit troubling, but not because I think Trump will lose North Carolina, but because it makes me question what Atlas is seeing down there. The GOP is not only doing well in both the polling and the early vote, but it would appear that Harris is starting to pull advertising out of North Carolina and shifting it to other places. I doubt seriously that they believe it is because North Carolina is in the bag. It is more likely that they are probably showing themselves behind and believe that their resources are better served elsewhere.

Of course, contrary to popular believe, there is a ton of state-wide polling. So even if Trump gained nearly a point and a half from these polls, the RCP battleground state average only moved in favor of Trump by 0.1% and he now leads by 1.0%. Nate Silver's disappointment with the Atlas polling coming out and offsetting a couple of other decent polls for her was obvious in his latest update.

AtlasIntel offset what was otherwise a pretty good afternoon for Harris — but it’s more of a “just toss it into the average” kind of day.

Yet, his averages show that Trump gained today in nearly every state by at least a little. Only Michigan remains a state where Harris has shown some recent gains, based almost entirely on two polls showing her up four and five points respectively and likely the difference between the previous and new Atlas poll.