NBC Poll is bad news for Bidens and the Democrats.

Trump up five points and the GOP holds a generic ballot lead of four.

The problem for Democrats seems to be bigger than Joe Biden. It no longer looks like simply removing the old geezer from the top of the ticket is going to be the silver bullet here. Moreover, I believe that replacing Joe Biden at this point is more complicated than some believe. It's not just the logistics of convincing Joe to step away (because they will not beat him at the convention), but rather that by asking their incumbent President to step down will be an admission that the past four years has been a failure.

Regardless of the reason that might be given for Joe Biden voluntarily stepping down, it will be nonetheless seen by most everyone for what it is. Biden and his polices have been disastrous for the country. You cannot simply change the face and keep the ideals and expect to win. You certainly cannot replace Joe Biden with someone even more liberal (Gavin Newsom) and expect that the public will simply forget about what has happened.

According to this poll:

• 73% of Americans currently believe we are on the "wrong track".

• 60% of Americans disapprove of the President, 49% disapprove strongly.

• More people now have a positive opinion about Donald Trump than Joe Biden.

• Trump voters are much more likely than Biden voters to suggest that they are voting "for" their candidate rather than against the opposition.

• Twice as many Trump supporters are enthusiastic about voting for their candidate than Biden supporters.

• Only 24 percent of the public believes that the economy will get better.

• Trump holds a 57-22 lead on immigration.

• Trump holds a 55-33 lead on the economy.

• Trump holds a 50-29 lead on crime and violence.

• Trump holds a 48-32 lead on competency.

• Biden holds a 44-32 lead on abortion.

• Biden holds an even smaller 43-41 lead on protecting democracy.

Bottom line here is that Biden's policies on immigration, economy, crime are the Democrat's policies in general. There are no Democrats who are going to campaign on closing the border, lowering taxes, or actually being tougher on crime. If they try, they can all be exposed as hypocrites based on what they have legislated and supported over the past few years. Abortion still seems to be their only positive message, but that seems to be fading as well. The whole protecting democracy rhetoric simply is not gathering traction.

So what could help Biden and the Democrats? Well, a criminal conviction of course!

But even if Trump were to be convicted of a "felony" during the Presidential season, the two fall into a statistical dead heat. Even a small Biden popular vote lead probably is not enough to overcome his electoral college problems. Right now, it seems more likely than not that Jack Smith will see both of his cases pushed off till after the election. Not just with the immunity questions, but with the complicated nature of the cases. There are simply too many variables and too many chances for Trump to continue to delay. That would leave two highly dubious cases brought by partisan county prosecutors, that most would see as political in nature. Both of those cases have bigger issues and a conviction in either would be appealed almost immediately.

I would also offer that if such a conviction were to happen, then we would get into the concept of collusion between the White House and prosecutors and would lead to many questions. Questions such as why Joe Biden is allowed to keep classified documents in his garage, his house, and even in a shared office at a college, while he pushes to have the FBI raid his opponents home over the same issue. Questions as to why White House attorneys have been meeting with both New York and Georgia prosecutors. I am not sure when the actual "facts" are discussed that people will see it the same way that they might right now. I believe that the assumption is that if he is found guilty that he must be legitimately guilty. That isn't necessarily going to be seen that way once everything is exposed.