Nate Silver drives liberals mad by admitting that Trump is still the favorite in his model.

538 might disagree, but Silver was the original one who created the model

There is a lot of speculation about the accuracy of the polling given the extreme inaccuracy of previous polling. The pollsters are said to have done everything they can to correct the poor results of the previous elections. but they said the same thing in 2020 and did worse than 2016.

James Carville called out Democrats for their overexuberance in the polls and suggested that the internal DNC polling still shows that the media polling is slanted towards Democrats. I have to believe that is true, or else you probably would not have had Harris pull the Arlington Cemetery gambit or openly demand that the debate rules be changed.

If she was clearly ahead, then why take a big chance at attacking Gold Star families over their support of Trump. All it did was call attention to the fact that Trump showed up to support them, and that these families are still quite bitter about the way they have been treated by the Biden Harris Administration. This would have otherwise quietly passed and there would be no bringing up of the fact that Trump was there, and Harris was not.... which at the end of the day is probably the takeaway.

If she was clearly ahead, why keep pushing to change debate rules and keep trying to egg on Trump. She looks like someone who is afraid to follow the debate rules as they stood (after arguing so hard that these debates were previously agreed to with Biden, so they automatically applied to her as well). Trump and his team have stood back, not taken the bait (good job Donald), and it looks like Harris will have to cave on her demands or back out of the debate. Trump keeps just announcing that he has come to terms and agreed to ABC debate rules, while Harris keeps insisting that the negotiations must continue.

Lastly, the betting odds have once again swung over to Trump's favor, ever so slightly. He is the favorite in four of the six betting sites tracked by RCP, even in one, and down in only one market.