Is the generic ballot moving back in the direction of the GOP?

It sure seems that way, but time will tell if it is just a blip or something substantial.

The past couple of generic polling that I have seen show the GOP "catching up" a bit in that age old generic ballot polling. Harvard Harris went from Dem +4 to tied, the Economist went from Dem +7 to Dem +4, while Reuters/Ipsos has moved to within 2, Yahoo within 3, and RMG is showing the GOP with a lead. The GOP is still down by 4.4%, but that is considerably better than the 5.2% that Democrats led by just a couple of weeks ago.

I will be curious as to how the whole Iranian deal plays out for this. The polling is all over the place with Insider Advantage showing overwhelming support with Likely Voters (54-36) while others like CNN show overwhelming opposition with Americans (59-41). At issue is the fact that most of the Arab states are on our side, the NATO commander is all in, and even some of our European states are on board with the. Those Americans who oppose see themselves on the same side as Iran, China, and Russia. Obviously these Americans includes the far left, some in the mushy middle, and even some far right anti-semetic conservatives who hate the military almost as much as the left does (see Tucker Carlson and MTG). While I understand the concept of certain "principals" there is a place for flexibility when the situation calls for it. Absolutes are dangerous in general, but even more so when you are talking about national security.

Either way, there seems to be a bit of momentum for the GOP. That could come from the fact that there the Minnesota ICE drama has played itself out and that the concept of shutting down the DHS during wartime seems dangerously immature in the aftermath. It could also be that opposing military action and taking the side of Iran, China, and Russia is not politically prudent. Time will tell.