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Harris is polling "closer" to Trump, but not in a position to "save democracy".

I had a couple of conversations over the past couple of days about whether there is still going to be enough time for Democrats to pivot away from Kamala and to someone else?

There seems to be two sets of camps on this one. The first is those who believe that Harris is the savior and that as soon as she gets out there campaigning the polling will reflect that. The second are those so desperate to beat Trump that they still want to keep all options open and would be willing to engage in coup 2.0 to replace Harris if early polling does not show her winning.


She currently seems to be running pretty close to where Biden was in the national polling. Depending on your average source, she is only better by a few percentage points, or possibly by as much as a point or so better. If you look at these battleground state polls, she is still losing everywhere she needs to win, but she does appear at least a bit closer in some of these than Biden was. Perhaps she will be doing better in states like Minnesota and Vermont where Trump has seemed to expand the map.


But what we have to remember is that Trump won in 2016 while losing the popular vote by over two points. In 2020, he almost won while losing the popular vote by over four points. Meanwhile these same battleground polls showed both Clinton and Biden ahead outside the margin of error in most states. So the baseline to beat Trump is probably not being better than Biden, or even being slightly ahead in any of this polling. Harris is likely running about three to five points below where she needs to be running to have any chance to actually win in November.


Did the Democrats create a situation where they are tied now to Harris... or can they still make another change if things go south over the next couple of weeks?

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Unknown member
Jul 26

New York Post on X: "Barack and Michelle Obama officially endorse Kamala Harris for president https://t.co/cLEGRvYwwB" / X


Guess my theory on timing was wrong. To me this seals the deal on who's running, but nothing shocks me anymore.

Edited
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Unknown member
Jul 26

In his first term Trump never had a complete circle around him who he could trust and that were loyal to him. I think with his experience he can avoid that in a second term. He should avoid people with even a hint of RINOism. Don JR said that his role in a second administration would be identifying those people and nothing else. Hopefully he can and we will find out. If not, either way, we are screwed.

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Unknown member
Jul 26

Wray's testimony yet again was outrageous bullshit. His shrapnel comment is completely baseless. It was said for democrats to grasp onto. And of course they did. Then to say he never noticed a single change in Biden in 3 1/2 years? Really? He's trained to be observant. But he saw nothing while everyone else saw it. I get so sick of these federal beaurocrats and their arrogant bullshit.

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