Full sample taken after trial news from HarrisX/Forbes
This shows not much difference from the poll the same poll in March. The head to head was tied and the five way was exactly the same (Trump up by two).
Now am expecting that we will see some "media" commissioned polls from ABC/WaPo and CBS/NYT which might be commissioned to provide some movement for Biden, just because that is what media polls tend to do (follow the particular narrative rather than allowing the results to create it).
But for now, the guilty verdict did not harm the former President as many might have expected. If the polling remains about the same, then the benefit from this will likely be the huge increase in Trump donations over the past day and a half. Within and hour or so of the verdict he had raised over $38 million dollars, and I have heard reports that it is up to two to three times that now.
CIT - it could be that more independents are suggesting that they are Republican.
ALX 🇺🇸 on X: "Joe Biden has one more ask before I log off for the night. He wants money because Trump raised more money in the 24 hours since his conviction yesterday than he did all of last month 🤣 https://t.co/pVnuYMShvv" / X
Scott Adams on X: "Fake poll season is here." / X
@amuse on X: "COVERUP: Special Counsel Hur prepared a transcript of his interview with the president turning it over to the AG who provided it to the president. The White House NOW admits it edited Hur's transcript before it was publicly released. Release the tapes. h/t @OversightPR https://t.co/kMyUoX2OaP" / X
Will Biden even last until the election?
a leaked tape may destroy him
I'd be curious about how they came up with the unweighted sample which has relatively so few independents and a hair more Republicans than Democrats? Are people leaving the "Independent" camp?
And I thought Independents were trending Trump?
Then again I don't trust the companies behind most of the polls.