Even NYT Siena sees the writing on the wall

Polling is consistent to the degree that Biden is losing minorities and that Trump is increasingly popular among minority males

President Biden is underperforming among nonwhite voters in New York Times/Siena College national polls over the last year, helping to keep the race close in a hypothetical rematch against Donald J. Trump.

On average, Mr. Biden leads Mr. Trump by just 53 percent to 28 percent among registered nonwhite voters in a compilation of Times/Siena polls from 2022 and 2023, which includes over 1,500 nonwhite respondents.

The results represent a marked deterioration in Mr. Biden’s support compared with 2020, when he won more than 70 percent of nonwhite voters. If he’s unable to revitalize this support by next November, it will continue a decade-long trend of declining Democratic strength among voters considered to be the foundation of the party.

So this is going to be a big problem for Biden and possibly Democrats as a whole. They rely on overwhelming support from minorities to maintain their coalition. But as Democrats have worked overtime to appeal to the Gen Z woke (mostly white privileged) crowd, they are slowly but surely losing everyone else. They have already lost the blue collar worker for the most part (and seem to wanting to kick them on their way out). They have slowly been losing the black male vote, but now they are losing other minority voters in alarming numbers.

To be clear, this isn't just about Biden and Trump. Biden has been "pandering" to the minority crowd for some time now. Kamala Harris, Ketanji Brown Jackson, and Karine Jean-Pierre are all examples of Biden putting "black women" in important positions to show everyone that he is pro-black. Of course, most can see this is obvious pandering and the performances of the three are not exactly awe-inspiring. The pandering was designed to stop the bleeding, but it seems that people see through it.

At the end of the day the idea that black people (and especially black males) are all somehow anti-police and pro-crime is a bad assumption to make. While that might have been all the rage for a few months after the George Floyd fiasco, the reality is that a lack of police presence and the loosening of criminal law effects everyone. It might even affect the classic urban minority more than anyone else. Apparently not all politicians believe that people want to feel safe.

Moreover, the Democratic focus on things that probably most urban and low income voters care very little about is coming back to bite you. When you think of the urban plight and the problems with the poor minority communities, gender fluidity, access to puberty blockers, and the use of proper pronouns are probably not the first things that come to mind. Yet, it seems that this is about all many Democrats want to talk about anymore.

Trump is becoming a sympathetic figure to many people. Obviously not to those who already hate Trump and believe he should be summary executed. But to many many Americans the excess amounts of questionable legal attacks makes him a victim. They don't see Biden, Garland, Smith and others as the good guys riding in on white steeds to save the day. They are seen as bullies, using their power to keep power, and to persecute their personal enemies. Nobody feels that pain more than underprivileged minority voters.

May be live in interesting times!