Can Ciattarelli actually win in New Jersey?

Polling is close as is early voting. But can he pull off the upset?

Early Voting:

• Democrats - 174,717

• Republicans - 167,316

• Independents - 88,615

Sherrill is also expected to win the mail in ballots by a considerable margin, while Ciattarelli is expected to win the in person voting by a large margin. Early voting is coming to an end and there are still a lot of mail in ballots that have not been returned. Like most off year elections this comes down to voter turnout.

Not sure that the final results make that much of a tangible difference. Obviously, a win would be better than a loss, but even if this turns out to be close, it will be a good harbinger for the upcoming midterms.