Another frequent lie from the left...

Trump is reacting to declining poll numbers?

You hear this statement coming from the left all the time, almost as if it is repeated enough that it will become true. Moreover, anytime there is any poll that shows any sort of moderate decline in the President's popularity, they cite and recite that one poll as if it is the gospel truth.

But the fact is that according to RCP averages, Trump's average approval rating is not declining. In fact, it has gone from being seven points underwater (or more) in July, to being about five and a half points underwater now. So in fact, he is about a point and a half more popular than he was two months ago. He remains over two points higher than Obama was at this same time in his second term and over three points higher than Bush (W) was at the same time in his second term.

But here is a quote from Robert Reich on Substack:

Phase 2 must be understood against the backdrop of Trump’s rapidly declining popularity.... Trump’s Phase 2 aims to overcome these declining poll numbers by demonizing the Democratic Party, liberals, and all other political opponents in an effort to divide the nation into those who are with Trump and those who are against him.

So according to Reich, Trump's approval and popularity are not just declining, but declining rapidly. He sites a Reuters/Ipsos poll as his evidence of said popularity declining. Ahem.

Now what I find even more interesting about Trump's approval actually increasing over the past couple of months in the RCP averages, is the fact that neither Trafalgar or Insider Advantage are part of the current polls on the RCP averages. These are two of his most consistent pollsters, both using the more favorable and accurate likely voter sample. At one point they joined forces to produce a single poll, which diluted their influence in the overall average, but as of today, neither has released a poll since last month. If you had a couple of more LV polls to offset the "all adult" media polls that generally shows way less support, you would actually see a higher approval, which would make Reich's claims even less true.

Either way, this is a lie. Trump is not losing popularity and while many of these all adult polls show a lack of support for things like the National Guard going to D.C. other polling is showing that these types of things either are or become popular the longer they go on and the more people know about them. While the concept of the National Guard coming into a city might alarm some people in an initial poll, when we see a dramatic decrease in crime, we see the police force embrace it, and the mayor even suggests it is a good thing, then people come around to it.

The left is losing the culture war and they are losing many of the current event debates. The assassination of Charlie Kirk exposed that way more people appreciate respectful open debate and his sort of common sense conservatism than hate it. Was the world-wide outpouring of support really about Charlie Kirk or was it more about whether we move forward with dialogue and debate, or whether we move forward with personal attacks, lies, deception, and violence?

I think the country and the world is pining for the former and really getting tired of the latter.

Democrats can pretend differently, but that does nothing to really help them moving forward. They need to accept some of this and make a decision to change course. Unfortunately for them, there are too many Robert Reich type people who demand that they are actually winning and that the best strategy moving forward is doubling down on these same issues, doubling down on the personal attacks, lies, deception, and calls for violence. This may doom them moving forward.